Breaking
NVIDIA largest company market cap odds plunge 36pp to 48.5% as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 36.0 percentage point drop in YES price, whales increased net bets on NVIDIA's top market cap status by $36K in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
’Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?’ odds drop 29pp to 32.5% amid whale buying divergence
Ethereum’s price expectation on Polymarket fell sharply despite $14K net whale inflows into YES contracts over 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Apple’s odds to be largest company by July 31 jump 30.6pp to 42.1% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp price rally with $8K net flow into YES contracts amid $21K in 24-hour trading volume.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip odds jump 26pp to 91.5% as whales back move
Whales contributed $13K net buying into YES contracts, reinforcing the sharp 24-hour price surge.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds to lead Chinese AI by July 2026 jump 28.5 points on aligned whale bets
Moonshot’s prospect of having the best Chinese AI model by July 2026 doubled as whales increased net bets by $6K alongside a sharp price rise.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price drops 18.5 pp to 38%
Polymarket’s market on Credible’s public sale commitment fell sharply despite whale flow showing no support for the decline.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot’s chances to lead Chinese AI model surge 27.1pp amid $6K whale buy-in
Polymarket's market on Moonshot leading Chinese AI models at July 2026 more than doubled its YES price, driven by aligned whale and retail buying activity.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 30.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from market prices as the chance of Iran military action on July 16 dropped sharply.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17? YES price jumps 27.5 pp to 77.5%
Whales supported the rally with $4K net inflow as the market’s odds shifted sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA’s odds to be world’s second-largest firm jumped 30.5pp to 39% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $4K net buys amid $23K total volume, signaling strong conviction in the market’s shift.
Jul 17