The market for “Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?” saw a sharp repricing on Polymarket, with the YES contract climbing 30.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours to 39.0%, up from an estimated 8.5% one day earlier.
This significant price move was backed by whale activity aligned with the price action. In the same period, whales contributed $4K in net flow into YES contracts, buying $24K and selling $20K, across 39 unique whale participants. Total 24-hour volume on the market reached $23K, part of a lifetime market volume of $112K with 182 unique traders overall.
The alignment between whale flow and price suggests a consensus among large traders that NVIDIA’s chance of becoming the second-largest company by market capitalization on July 31 has increased markedly. The combined surge in price and whale buying reinforces a shift in market sentiment rather than a transient price spike.
This repricing and whale confirmation point to a meaningful adjustment in expectations, highlighting a growing confidence in NVIDIA’s market position as the date approaches.
| Market | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2674076 |
| 24h price change | +30.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 39.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 8.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 39.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $4K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $24K / $20K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 39 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $23K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 182 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.