The market asking if NVIDIA will be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31 saw its YES price surge 35.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours, jumping from 7.0% to 42.5%.
This sharp repricing coincided with aligned whale activity, as 40 unique whale traders collectively bought $28K worth of YES contracts while selling $23K, resulting in a net whale flow of $5K into the YES side. The 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this contract was $26K, close to the whale buy volume, indicating that whales were a significant driver of the recent price move.
Since inception, the market has seen $115K in total volume from 190 unique traders, suggesting a steady but not overwhelming interest in the question.
This convergence of price action and whale buying pressure highlights a notable shift in sentiment, underscoring the market’s reassessment of NVIDIA’s valuation prospects in a short timeframe.
| Market | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2674076 |
| 24h price change | +35.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 42.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 7.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 41.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $5K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $28K / $23K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 40 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $26K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 190 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-17. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.