Markets
Russia’s Capture of Huliaipole by September Nears Certainty in Markets
Military advances in Huliaipole gain momentum as traders price Russian control within months
Jul 31
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Markets
Sofia emerges as top contender to host Eurovision 2027
Competition heats up among Bulgarian cities to secure the 2027 Eurovision hosting rights.
Jul 31
Markets
Cleitinho Azevedo leads tightening race for Minas Gerais governor in 2026
Campaign shifts in Minas Gerais highlight a close contest as traders weigh odds for the July 2026 election.
Jul 31
Markets
NATO-Russia clash bets shift closer as August 31st nears
Ongoing diplomatic strains and military activity influence public and trader views on a potential conflict by summer's end.
Jul 31
Markets
Hamas pledges December 31 disarmament as traders price high odds
A tentative breakthrough in Middle East peace talks sees Hamas agreeing to disarm by the end of 2026.
Jul 31
Markets
GRVT’s $350M FDV Mark Meets Skepticism One Day Post-Launch
Market participants weigh in on GRVT’s valuation potential shortly after its debut.
Jul 31
Weather
Chongqing weather forecasts diverge by 4.3°C amid $30K trading volume
Shanghai leads weather market volume at $291K as forecast spreads highlight city-by-city uncertainty.
Jul 31
Daily
Polymarket hits $42.60M in daily volume, 16.9% above 5-day average
Trading activity surged with nearly 1.8M trades and 43,036 active wallets across over half a million markets
Jul 31
Accuracy
0x3b58…eabd tops 691,381 wallets with 100% accuracy on 225 markets
Leader wallet achieves lowest Brier score and highest volume among top forecasters on Polymarket
Jul 31
Markets
NYC Median Home Value Odds Moderate as September 30 Nears
Polymarket pricing reveals uncertainty on whether NYC's median home value will fall within a $636K–$663K range by September 30.
Jul 31