Whales
$400K Whale Flow Backs France Despite 32.0% Market Price on 2026 World Cup Win
A $400K net inflow from whales into France’s 2026 World Cup win contrasts with the market’s 32.0% implied probability amid $104.28M volume.
Jul 9
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract YES Price Drops 29.3pp Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased their net $4K YES bets even as Polymarket’s YES price fell sharply from 41.1% to 11.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
Whales net $454K into Morocco 2026 World Cup win as market prices YES at 3.1%
Large traders have purchased $4.15M in bets on Morocco winning, diverging from the market’s low probability pricing.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17, 2026 Release Odds Drop 34.4pp to 11.8% on Polymarket
Whale buying diverges from a sharp 34.4 percentage point selloff, signaling mixed sentiment in the $24K volume market.
Jul 9
Whales
$281K Buy on Morocco in World Cup 2026 Defies 3.0% Market Odds
A trader with 77.3% accuracy backs Morocco to win the World Cup, pushing against the market consensus and joining strong whale buying.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 25.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Whale buying of $1K in YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 25.5 percentage point decline in market odds over 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
Will OpenAI’s valuation hit $1.0T by December 31? YES odds plunge 43.5pp to 34.0%
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 24-hour price drop, highlighting market disagreement on OpenAI's trillion-dollar valuation.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena Score by end-2026 jumps 21.5pp to 48.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market odds near even for AI breakthrough by December 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 16.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 16.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $6K, signaling mixed signals on Iran's July 9 targeting.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 21.5pp while whales add $1K
Polymarket’s market on Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision sees a sharp price repricing amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 9