Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate Exit Market Drops 22pp Despite $14K Whale Bets on YES
Polymarket's price for McConnell stepping down falls from 68.5% to 46.5% while whale flow moves $14K into YES, diverging from the price shift.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 21.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Ethereum’s chance of falling to $1,700 in July retreated sharply, with whale bets moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 26.1 points despite $3K whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds slide 23.5 points as whale flow diverges
YES contract on Ethereum dip dropped from 84.0% to 60.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds fall 17.5 points despite whale buying
Price on Count Binface’s Clacton by-election finish slid from 86.5% to 69.0% as whale activity diverged from the market move.
Jul 10
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?’ YES price plunges 30.8 pp amid whale flow-price split
While the YES price collapsed from 32.3% to 1.5% in 24 hours, whales increased net bets by $5K, showing a notable divergence between price action and whale activity.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 60.4 pp to 99.9%
Whale activity tracked the sharp surge in odds, pushing the market close to certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pour $1.10M into Morocco 2026 World Cup Win Despite 0.05% Market Odds
A net $1.10M whale flow into Morocco’s win bet contrasts sharply with its 0.05% market price in a $152.25M volume market.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 20.5 pp as whale buying diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?” YES contract dropped from 22.0% to 1.5%, while whales added $5K in net YES bets.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” YES price jumps 25pp to 90.5%
Polymarket's Bitcoin price target contract surged as whale trading aligned with the sharp upward repricing.
Jul 10