Whales
$419K Whale Bet Challenges Morocco’s 2026 World Cup Odds at 0.05%
A top-accuracy trader placed a large buy on Morocco in a $152.25M market, pushing against a longshot price.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Moscow Air Traffic Suspension by August 31 Drop 16.5pp Amid Whale Divergence
Polymarket's Moscow air traffic suspension contract fell from 90.5% to 74.0% despite whale activity opposing the price move.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action on July 10? YES price drops 27pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 27.0pp decline in Iran Gulf military action odds on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf military action drop 15.2 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from the price as market odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State slid from 20.0% to 4.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Whales
$466K Buy Bets Against Consensus on Lindblad for 2026 F1 Title
A single wallet placed $830K on low-probability F1 championship outcomes, joining whale buying momentum.
Jul 10
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 15pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s Ethereum dip market saw a 15.0pp decline in YES price despite whale bets moving against the trend.
Jul 10
Breaking
Anthropic Math AI odds drop 28pp as whale flow diverges from price move
Despite a 28.0 pp plunge in YES price, whales pushed $5K into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 10
Whales
Whale Buys $473K on France Win at 61.4% Market Probability
A single wallet placed $1.24M in large trades today on France to win, moving with the broader whale flow despite the market's moderate odds.
Jul 10
Breaking
Google Math AI odds jump 32.5 points to 58.5% on Polymarket amid whale buying
The market on Google's lead in Math AI by July 2026 saw a sharp price rise supported by $6K net whale inflows over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $65,000 July Bet Surges 17pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as optimism on Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July sharply increased.
Jul 10