Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?” YES price surges 69.5pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a near-total repricing on Polymarket, signaling a sharp shift in market conviction.
Jul 13
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July odds plunge 22pp despite $23K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharply falling YES prices as Polymarket traders reassessed Bitcoin’s July target.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds surge 68.8pp to 99.8% as whales pile in $323K
Whale buying aligned with a massive 24-hour price jump on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction in a US blockade announcement by July 31.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? YES odds jump 58.5 pp to 77.0%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence on Polymarket, pushing YES odds from 18.5% to 77.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 66pp to 98.5% as whales buy $262K
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket’s blockade market, pushing YES odds near certainty.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market Drops 25pp to 59.5% Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales bought $23K into YES even as Polymarket price fell sharply, signaling a split between big-money flow and market sentiment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 28.5 points as whale flow backs surge
YES price on Iran military action against a Gulf State rises from 41.0% to 69.5% with aligned whale buying
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 47pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched sharp price rise as market reassesses diplomatic prospects by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales net $198K betting YES on Argentina to win 2026 World Cup as market price lags at 17.3%
Despite a modest market-implied probability, large traders have surged their net bets on Argentina in the final days before the market closes.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 29pp to 56.5% as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” market saw a sharp 29pp decline in YES price despite $22K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 13