Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 15pp Despite $61K Whale YES Bets
Whale buying on Polymarket contrasts with a sharp 15pp decline in YES price for Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July.
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Kyle Schwarber’s 2026 Home Run Derby Odds Surge 63.5 Points on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp jump in YES price from 21.8% to 85.4%, driving $329K in volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Market YES Price Jumps 24.5 Points to 54% on Whale-Aligned Flow
The market on Houthis successfully targeting shipping by August 31, 2026, more than doubled in probability as large traders backed the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 49pp to 81.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in the probability of a diplomatic meeting by mid-2026, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Tamas Sulyok ouster odds drop 19.5 pp despite $12K whale bets
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 19.5 pp decline in YES price on Tamas Sulyok’s presidency market, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 14
Breaking
Jordan Walker’s 2026 Home Run Derby Odds Surge 40.6 Points to 52.7%
Whale activity and market prices rose in tandem as Polymarket traders sharply increased the probability of Walker winning the event.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 52.5 pp to 85% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of talks by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Weather
Tokyo forecast split widens to 3.4°C as Hong Kong leads at $48K
Tokyo’s 3.4°C forecast range highlights highest disagreement among 52 cities amid $161K daily volume across the weather vertical.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran MOU withdrawal odds jump 15pp to 38.5% on Polymarket with whale support
The market on Iran’s announcement of MOU withdrawal by August 15 saw a significant rise in YES price accompanied by aligned whale buying.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on Houthis targeting shipping surges 27.5pp to 50% on Polymarket
Whale buying and price action aligned as market sharply reprices odds for Houthis' success by August 2026
Jul 14