Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Big wallets are buying YES on France despite the market pricing a 39.0% chance of victory, signaling a divergence between whale bets and overall market sentiment.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.0 percentage point drop in Sara Rodriguez’s Polymarket odds over 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Whale trading aligned with a surge pushing the market to full certainty in 24 hours.
Polymarket's 'US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?' YES contract dropped from 38.0% to 12.5%, but whale flow increased YES bets, diverging from the price move.
Whale trades matched a sharp 48.5 percentage-point jump in YES price to 92%, signaling strong market conviction.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 42.0 percentage point increase in the YES contract price, signaling rising market confidence.
Whale flows and price action moved in tandem as Polymarket sharply repriced odds for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Polymarket’s contract on US sanction relief for Iran fell sharply to 13% even as whales increased YES bets, signaling a split between large investors and overall market sentiment.
Whales sold $20K against a 17.0 pp price fall in "Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?", signaling a sharp shift in sentiment.
Whale trading aligned with a sharp market rally, pushing Walker’s win probability from 12.1% to certainty in 24 hours.
