Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES contract jumps 67.6pp to 100%
Polymarket’s Iran-Gulf State conflict market saw a sharp repricing with whale activity confirming the move amid $671K volume.
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 55.4pp to 100% as whale bets confirm move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract jumps from 44.5% to certainty amid aligned whale flow and $672K volume.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” YES price falls 28.6 pp despite whale buying
The market’s YES price dropped sharply from 44.1% to 15.6% in 24 hours while whale flows diverged, signaling conflicting signals on the contract.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 50pp to 84.5% on Polymarket with aligned whale buying
Whales contributed $5K net buying into YES as the market price soared from 34.5% to 84.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
“No next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?” YES jumps 19pp to 63.5% with whale buying
Whales added a net $4K into YES as the market surged from 44.5% to 63.5% in 24 hours, moving in sync with price action.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Houthis targeting shipping drops 54.9 pp in 24h
Whale flow diverged sharply as odds plunged from 70.5% to 15.7%, signaling market skepticism despite whale buying.
Jul 14
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Odds Jump 18pp to 53.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity confirmed the sharp rise in probability for Houthis targeting shipping by August 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 53pp to 87.5%
Whales contributed $19K net buying as odds surged from 34.5% to 87.5%, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for ‘No Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026’ Jump 22pp to 66.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rally, pushing the market far above its on-chain midpoint.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 52.5 points to 81% amid $5K whale buys
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket’s Iran military action market, pushing YES odds from 28.5% to 81%.
Jul 14