Breaking
“Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” YES price jumps 35.5pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whales added $5K net into YES contracts, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge amid moderate overall volume.
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 65.5 pp despite $16K whale inflows
Polymarket’s YES contract for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, dropped from 95.8% to 30.2% in 24 hours while whale buying increased.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 58.2 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as the market’s probability collapsed from near certainty to under 40%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price jumps 60.7 pp to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic surge in market odds, pushing the probability from 39.3% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Houthis shipping attack odds plunge 34.1pp to 15.5% despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Inflation market surges 98.4 points to 100% as whales back June outcome
Polymarket's annual inflation contract jumps from 1.6% to 100% YES price with $21K whale net inflow confirming the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Core CPI YoY June YES price plunges 54.5 pp to 0.50% amid whale flow divergence
Whales bought $3K into YES even as Polymarket's price dropped sharply, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Inflation Market Soars 98.4pp to 100% as Whales Back Move with $19K Net Buys
The “Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?” market jumped from 1.6% to 100%, with whale buying aligning with the price surge.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket inflation odds jump 15.6pp to 66.0% with whale buying support
Whales contributed a net $6K into YES as the market sharply repriced annual inflation at 3.8% for June.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?” YES odds surge 54.9pp to 92.4%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 54.9 percentage point jump in market odds on Polymarket.
Jul 14