Whales place $4.94M net bets on France to win 2026 World Cup despite 0.05% market price
A $4.94M net inflow into YES contrasts with a market-implied probability of 0.05%, highlighting a rare divergence in the World Cup winner market.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
A $4.94M net inflow into YES contrasts with a market-implied probability of 0.05%, highlighting a rare divergence in the World Cup winner market.
Polymarket’s July Core CPI MoM contract sees a sharp YES price decline, but whale activity moves against the price trend.
YES contract price plunges from 64.5% to 29.5% while whales increase exposure by $4K, signaling conflicting market signals.
Whale flow diverged sharply from the price, signaling conflicting signals on Credible's public sale funding prospects.
Whales and overall trading volume moved in sync, pushing the market sharply higher on strong conviction in China’s growth outlook.
YES contract on Google Gemini Pro release fell sharply from 76.1% to 22.9% despite $4K whale net buying, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Whales supported the sharp increase with $22K net inflow into YES contracts amid $58K total volume in 24 hours.
The market for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July surged from 45.0% to 71.0%, with whale buying reinforcing the price move.
Whales supported the sharp rise in odds with $11K net flow into YES contracts amid $17K 24-hour volume on Polymarket.
Whales added a net $31K to the YES side as the market price surged from 75.5% to full certainty within 24 hours.