Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 27.5 percentage point rise in the probability that ETH will hit $1,900 by July, signaling strong conviction in this outcome.
Polymarket's Core CPI July contract saw a sharp 41.5 percentage point drop in YES price, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Ethereum price reaching $1,900 in July jumped from 66.5% to 94.5% on Polymarket, with whale buying driving the rally.
Whales supported the sharp rise with $11K net flow into YES amid $17K total 24-hour volume.
The market’s sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale activity, which did not support the move.
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as confidence surged sharply in July 2026 heat records.
The market's YES contract fell from 56.0% to 29.5% in 24 hours while whale activity diverged, signaling conflicting signals.
Whales drove $2.22M net into the 'no change' bet as the market sharply repriced in one day.
Whales contributed $22K net inflow as Ethereum price chance jumped from 56.5% to 91% in 24 hours.
Despite a sharp 27.0 percentage point fall in the contract’s YES price, whale trading moved against the market direction on Polymarket.
