Breaking
PayPal acquisition odds jump 52.5 points to 68% as whales back the move
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, signaling growing conviction on PayPal deal timing.
Jul 15
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 52.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?” contract sees a sharp drop in YES price amid $14K volume, with whale bets diverging from market direction.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood’s odds jump 52.9 points to 59.2% with $21K whale inflow
Whales and market trading aligned as YES price surged from 6.3% to 59.2% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 ‘No Successor’ Odds Drop 58pp to 33.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket’s 'no next Home Secretary' market saw a sharp 58 percentage point decline in YES price despite whales adding $6K net into YES contracts, highlighting a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 48.9pp to 55.1% on Whale Support
Whales aligned with the price surge, netting $20K into YES as market odds flipped from 6.3% to 55.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Russia capturing Pokrovka jumps 90.8 pp to 97.9%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $15K net inflow into YES amid $58K total 24h volume on the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Odds Surge 40.1pp to 46% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $20K net buying as market odds jumped sharply from 5.9% to 46%.
Jul 15
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary 2026 Market YES Price Drops 44.0 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased exposure by $4K to YES as the market price fell from 63.5% to 19.5%, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price plunges 34.4 pp amid whale flow divergence
Whales increased YES bets by $4K as market odds dropped from 42.2% to 7.8%, signaling a sharp split between price and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Breaking
39pp plunge in UK Foreign Secretary market contrasts with $4K whale buying
Whale activity diverged sharply from a steep price drop, signaling conflicting signals in the UK Foreign Secretary question.
Jul 15