Nike World Cup shirt maker odds plunge 37.5pp as whale flow diverges
The market's YES price for Nike dropped from 58.5% to 21.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale activity.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
The market's YES price for Nike dropped from 58.5% to 21.0% despite $2K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale activity.
Whales bought $16K in YES contracts as the market sharply repriced Unai Simón’s chances at the 2026 World Cup.
Whales bought $4K into YES as its price fell sharply from 63.0% to 34.5%, signaling a divergence between big bets and market odds.
Whales injected $6K into YES contracts even as the market slashed its probability from 91.5% to 37.0% in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s Home Secretary market reverses sharply as whale buying diverges from falling odds, signaling conflicting trader sentiment.
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as confidence surged sharply in Mahmood’s chances on Polymarket.
Despite a 46.9 percentage point drop in YES price to 7.5%, whales increased their YES bets by $4K, diverging from the market's sharp negative repricing.
Whales supported the surge with a $22K net buy into YES contracts amid $47K 24-hour volume.
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in the chance of PayPal being acquired before 2027, adding $1K net into YES contracts.
A single wallet with 85.2% accuracy backs a longshot Fed interest rate increase, joining whale buying in a $12M market.