Breaking
Declan Rice goal market jumps 93pp to 100% with whale buying in sync
Polymarket’s “Will Declan Rice score at 2026 World Cup?” contract surged from 7.0% to certainty alongside $3K whale net inflows.
Jul 18
#%sworld cup
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 117 stories.
Markets
Argentina’s 2026 World Cup Market Hits $158.59M, Yes at 40.2%
The largest sports market on Polymarket nears its close with high stakes and significant trader concentration.
Jul 18
Breaking
World Cup Final Weather Delay Odds Plunge 44.5 Points Despite Whale Buying
Polymarket’s “World Cup Final: Weather Delay?” contract dropped from 49.5% to 5.0% even as whales increased their YES bets, signaling a sharp price-flow divergence.
Jul 18
Whales
$739K Sell on Argentina World Cup Win Runs Against 41.6% Market Odds
A top-ranked trader moved $1.74M today across World Cup markets, betting heavily against Argentina’s 2026 win despite broad whale buying.
Jul 16
Breaking
South America’s 2026 World Cup win odds jump 22 points to 41.5% on Polymarket
Whales added $33K net to YES positions as the market nearly doubled its probability in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
South America World Cup YES price jumps 22pp to 41.5% with $38K whale support
Polymarket’s CONMEBOL win market doubles odds as whale buying aligns with price surge.
Jul 16
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 World Cup win odds drop 22pp despite $90K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 22 percentage point decline in yes price to 58.5%, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 16
Whales
$1.53M net whale flow into YES on England winning 2026 World Cup contrasts 0.05% market price
Whales have bought $5.45M against $2.44M sold in 24 hours despite a near-zero market-implied probability for England's victory.
Jul 16
Breaking
South America World Cup 2026 YES Odds Surge 23pp to 42.5% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $47K net buying as the market doubled its probability for CONMEBOL winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 16
Daily
Polymarket Sees $63.83M Volume and 64,918 Active Wallets in 24 Hours
Daily trading volume surpassed the prior five-day average by 6.9%, driven by high activity in World Cup 2026 markets.
Jul 16