Polymarket’s prediction market on whether Declan Rice will score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup surged sharply, with the YES contract price jumping 93.0 percentage points from approximately 7.0% to a full 100.0% within 24 hours. This dramatic repricing signals a near consensus that Rice will score during the tournament.
The price move was accompanied by aligned whale activity, with 33 unique whales net buying $3K into YES positions over the same period. Whale buy volume totaled $5K, outpacing $2K in sell volume, indicating strong demand among larger traders. Total 24-hour volume on the market was $6K, while lifetime volume stands at $14K, showing the market’s growing liquidity and trader interest, which includes 183 unique participants overall.
This synchronized price and whale flow suggests that large traders reinforced the bullish shift in odds rather than opposing it. The market’s full repricing to 100% implies confidence that Rice’s goal is a near certainty, reflecting new information or consensus among participants. The combined data underscores a decisive market consensus and strong whale conviction in this outcome.
| Market | Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2380694 |
| 24h price change | +93.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 7.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 100.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $3K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $5K / $2K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 33 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $6K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 183 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.