Whales
Whales Net $560K Into Spain Win Market Despite 22.7% Price
Large traders increase exposure to Spain in 2026 World Cup market while overall odds remain steady.
Jul 14
#%sworld cup 2026
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 31 stories.
Whales
Whales Add $248K Net to YES on England Winning 2026 World Cup at 21.4% Price
Despite a market-implied probability of 21.4%, whales have pushed $248K net into YES positions over the past 24 hours on England's 2026 World Cup win.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales net $475K into YES on France World Cup 2026 at 39.0% market price
Big wallets are buying YES on France despite the market pricing a 39.0% chance of victory, signaling a divergence between whale bets and overall market sentiment.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales net $198K betting YES on Argentina to win 2026 World Cup as market price lags at 17.3%
Despite a modest market-implied probability, large traders have surged their net bets on Argentina in the final days before the market closes.
Jul 13
Whales
$285K Net Whale Flow into YES on Argentina World Cup Win Against 17.9% Market Price
Whales have pushed $285K net into YES bets for Argentina despite a market-implied probability of just 17.9%, highlighting divergence between big traders and the broader market.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price surges 50.4pp to 100% on FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG semifinal scenario
Whale activity aligns with sharp market repricing in Polymarket’s 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals question.
Jul 12
Whales
$433K Buy Order Bets Against 1.7% Market Probability for Switzerland in 2026 World Cup
A single large trade on Switzerland’s World Cup win market contrasts with the low implied odds and joins broader whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Whales
Whales bet $808K on Belgium to win 2026 World Cup despite 0.05% market price
Large investors have pushed $808K into YES on Belgium, diverging sharply from the market's low implied probability.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Back Switzerland at 1.7% in World Cup 2026 Market Despite Low Odds
$383K net whale flow into YES contrasts with the market's 1.7% implied probability in a $123.48M volume market.
Jul 11
Whales
$342K Bet Against Consensus on Norway Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $427K on Norway’s 2026 World Cup win, defying the market’s 5.9% implied probability and joining whale buying trends.
Jul 11