Whales
$987K Net Whale Flow Into Yes on Belgium World Cup Win Amid 2.1% Market Price
Big traders are accumulating Belgium at odds diverging sharply from the market-implied 2.1% probability.
Jul 10
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” YES odds drop 21pp amid whale selling
Ethereum price dip odds on Polymarket fell from 84.0% to 63.0% despite whale selling, signaling trader skepticism.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate exit odds drop 21pp to 47.5% amid whale-flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for McConnell stepping down fell sharply despite $16K whale net buying, revealing a split between price action and large trader behavior.
Jul 10
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 19pp to 61% with $55K whale inflow
Whale activity and price movement aligned as Polymarket sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026? YES price jumps 70.3 pp to 100%
Whale activity matched the surge, contributing $811 net buys as odds soared from 29.6% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 29 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price while whale flow moved opposite.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $65,000 July Odds Jump 19 Points to 85.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.0 pp rise in YES price to 85.5%, reflecting growing confidence in Bitcoin’s July target.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket’s Ethereum $1,700 July dip odds drop 18pp despite whale buying
Ethereum dip to $1,700 odds fell from 81.0% to 63.0% amid diverging whale flow on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 41.1pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as Polymarket slashed the chance of Iranian military action on July 9 to 13.9%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026? YES jumps 92.3 pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price surge, pushing the market from 7.6% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 10