Breaking
PayPal acquisition odds jump 56.5 points to 72% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in the chance of PayPal being acquired before 2027, adding $1K net into YES contracts.
Jul 15
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price plunges 34.4 pp amid whale flow divergence
Whales increased YES bets by $4K as market odds dropped from 42.2% to 7.8%, signaling a sharp split between price and whale behavior.
Jul 15
Whales
Whales place $4.94M net bets on France to win 2026 World Cup despite 0.05% market price
A $4.94M net inflow into YES contrasts with a market-implied probability of 0.05%, highlighting a rare divergence in the World Cup winner market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026 drop 35pp amid whale flow-price divergence
YES contract price plunges from 64.5% to 29.5% while whales increase exposure by $4K, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Market Surges 55.8 Points to 99.7% on Whale Buying
Whales and overall trading volume moved in sync, pushing the market sharply higher on strong conviction in China’s growth outlook.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Bet Jumps 26 Points as Whales Push $12K Into YES
The market for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July surged from 45.0% to 71.0%, with whale buying reinforcing the price move.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July YES contract jumps 24.4 pp to 100%, whales back the move
Whales added a net $31K to the YES side as the market price surged from 75.5% to full certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 in July Market Jumps 27.5pp as Whales Push YES to 95.5%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 27.5 percentage point rise in the probability that ETH will hit $1,900 by July, signaling strong conviction in this outcome.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July odds surge 28pp as whales add $23K to YES
Ethereum price reaching $1,900 in July jumped from 66.5% to 94.5% on Polymarket, with whale buying driving the rally.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?” YES price jumps 42.5 pp to 79.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $11K net flow into YES amid $17K total 24-hour volume.
Jul 15