Breaking
Iran Gulf military action market YES price drops 35pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $9K of YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price fell sharply from 79.0% to 44.0%.
Jul 18
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Odds for next Claude Opus release by July 22, 2026, drop 16pp to 51% despite whale buying
Price for 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?' fell sharply while whale flow diverged, signaling mixed market signals.
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 40.5 pp despite $9K whale buys
Whale flows diverged from price as the market cut YES odds nearly in half over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Bet Jumps 41.9 Points as Whales Back YES with $5K Net Flow
The market on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding surged from 25.0% to 66.9% amid strong whale buying aligned with price moves.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds surge 45.4pp to 69.2% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $4K net buying into YES, aligning with the sharp price jump in the past 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation odds plunge 40pp to 15.4% as whale flow bucks price move
Whales pumped $4K into YES even as market slashed probability from 55.4% to 15.4% over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi exit odds jump 46pp to 74% on Polymarket with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 46 percentage point rise in the likelihood that Syrskyi leaves his post by end-2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 17.4 points on whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise to 56.8% on Polymarket’s Moonshot AI market.
Jul 18
Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.4 Points on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $5K net buys as the YES price rose from 7.4% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for ‘Like a Prayer’ as Madonna’s First 2026 World Cup Song Drop 20.5pp in 24h
Whale trading diverged sharply from the price drop in the Madonna halftime show market, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 18