Breaking
Odds Trump Will Accuse China of Election Interference Jump 32.5pp to 66%
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price rise in the Polymarket contract on Trump’s potential accusation by July 16.
Jul 16
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 50.5pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw its YES price drop from 93.5% to 43.0% despite $12K whale buying over 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu meeting odds plunge 75pp as whale flow diverges sharply
Polymarket's YES price on a Trump-Netanyahu meeting falls from 78.5% to 3.3%, while whale activity moves against the price shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor odds jump 33.3pp to 88.7% with whale backing
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in Shabana Mahmood’s chances to become UK Chancellor in 2026, adding $43K net to YES positions amid $79K total volume.
Jul 16
Breaking
Solana $80 July Market Sees 27.3pp Drop to 61.9% with Whale Flow Aligning
Polymarket's Solana price target contract sharply reprices lower amid whale selling and $8K in daily volume.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price drops 47.5pp to 37.0% amid whale divergence
Despite a sharp 47.5 percentage point decline in the YES price, whale flow moved against the price trend on Polymarket’s Trump-Netanyahu contract.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?” YES price plunges 49.5 pp amid whale flow divergence
Despite a near 50 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity on Polymarket diverged by not supporting the selloff.
Jul 16
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Surges 37.8pp to 81% with Whale Buying Support
Polymarket’s odds for Shabana Mahmood becoming UK Chancellor in 2026 jump sharply, backed by $43K whale net inflows.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Home Secretary Market YES Price Drops 35.5 Points Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s contract on the absence of a UK Home Secretary in 2026 saw a sharp 35.5 percentage point decline in YES price despite $7K whale net buying.
Jul 16
Breaking
Messi Golden Ball odds soar 49.9pp to 90% as whales back YES with $144K net flow
Lionel Messi’s chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball jumped sharply alongside strong whale buying that reinforced the rally.
Jul 16