Breaking
NVIDIA’s odds to be world’s second-largest firm jumped 30.5pp to 39% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $4K net buys amid $23K total volume, signaling strong conviction in the market’s shift.
Jul 17
#%swhale-flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 303 stories.
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Contract YES Price Drops 35pp Despite $9K Whale Net Buys
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 35pp decline in odds for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July on Polymarket, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July Market Sees 20-Point Drop to 28.5% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price target contract fell sharply despite whale activity moving against the price shift, signaling uncertainty in large bets.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?” YES price plunges 45.5pp amid whale-buying divergence
The contract’s YES price dropped from 46.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours even as whales increased their net buying by $5K, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump Speech Length Odds Collapse 44pp to 0.05% on Divergent Whale Flow
Despite a sharp 44.0 percentage-point drop in YES price, whale activity did not support the sell-off in Trump speech duration market.
Jul 17
Breaking
‘Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?’ YES price plunges 36.4 pp to 1.1%
Whales bought $5K into YES even as its price collapsed from 37.5% to 1.1%, signaling a sharp divergence between flow and market odds.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 39.5pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell sharply from 69.0% to 29.5% even as whale flow diverged by supporting YES.
Jul 17
Breaking
Trump Speech 30+ Minutes Contract YES Price Plunges 36.4pp Despite Whale Silence
The odds that Trump's speech lasts at least 30 minutes collapsed from 36.5% to 0.05%, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16? YES price drops 47.5pp to 24.0%
YES contract price plunges from 71.5% to 24.0% despite whale flow moving against the trend
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?” YES price drops 44pp to 1.1% amid whale flow divergence
The market’s sharp 44 percentage-point plunge contrasts with $5K whale buying, signaling conflicting signals from large traders and price action.
Jul 17