Breaking
Lucy Powell’s odds to be UK Culture Secretary jump 43.1 points to 47.6% in 24h
Whale activity backed the sharp price rise as the market’s 24-hour volume reached $6K, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 20
#%suk politics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 60 stories.
Breaking
Lucy Powell’s odds surge 23pp to 27.6% with whale buying on Polymarket
Whales contributed $4K net buying as Lucy Powell’s chance to become UK Culture Secretary in 2026 jumped sharply.
Jul 20
Breaking
Ed Miliband Foreign Secretary odds jump 30pp to 92% on Polymarket
Whale activity and retail volume both supported a sharp rise in odds for Miliband becoming UK Foreign Secretary in 2026.
Jul 19
Breaking
YES price jumps 28.5 pp to 88.9% on Shabana Mahmood UK Chancellor market
Whales contributed $45K net buying as the market sharply repriced in favor of Mahmood in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Jumps 29.8 Points as Whales Back the Move
The probability of Mahmood becoming UK Chancellor in 2026 rose sharply alongside $51K whale net inflows, reflecting aligned conviction across traders and whales.
Jul 16
Breaking
Shabana Mahmood Chancellor Market Surges 30.4pp to 87.8% with Whale Support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 30.4 percentage point increase in odds for Mahmood as next UK Chancellor in 2026.
Jul 16
Breaking
UK Home Secretary 2026 ‘No Successor’ Odds Drop 37pp as Whales Buy $5K YES
Despite a sharp 37 percentage point fall in YES price, whales increased their exposure by $5K, diverging from overall market sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
‘No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?’ YES odds plunge 57pp to 16.5% amid whale flow divergence
Whales increased YES-side bets by $5K even as market odds sharply dropped, signaling conflicting signals on UK Home Secretary prospects.
Jul 16
Breaking
“No next UK Home Secretary in 2026?” market YES price plunges 43pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s odds for no successor Home Secretary in 2026 dropped from 59.5% to 16.5% despite $6K whale buying, signaling conflicting signals in trader sentiment.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?” YES price drops 33.5 pp as whales buy $6K
Whale buying diverged from a steep 33.5 percentage-point drop in YES price, signaling a complex market reassessment on the Home Secretary question.
Jul 16