Breaking
Oleksandr Syrskyi Out by July 31, 2026? YES Price Jumps 30.6 pp to 42.1%
Whale activity and market prices both surged, signaling a strong reassessment of Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief status on Polymarket.
Jul 18
#%sprice-movers
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 78 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 40.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract for Iran Gulf State attack drops from 82.5% to 42% despite $10K whale buys.
Jul 18
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League of Legends jump 61.4 pp to 69% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in the YES price, signaling growing conviction among top traders.
Jul 18
Breaking
Tamas Sulyok ouster odds jump 18.4 points to 99.9% on Polymarket
Whales pushed $16K into YES as market repriced sharply from 81.5% to near certainty in 24 hours
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Oleksandr Syrskyi’s Exit as Ukraine Commander Surge 19.1 pp to 28.4%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.1 percentage point jump in the market on Syrskyi’s potential removal by July 31, 2026.
Jul 18
Breaking
Ralph Norman Nomination Odds Jump 17pp to 23.5% on Polymarket Backed by $4K Whale Buys
Whales and traders pushed the YES price from 6.5% to 23.5% with $8K whale buy volume matching the sharp repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B Valuation Odds Drop 29.3 Points Despite $3K Whale Support
Whale buying of $3K into YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 29.3 pp decline in market odds on Databricks' valuation target.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?” YES price drops 23 pp despite whale buying
Whales pumped $9K into YES contracts even as the market price fell from 50.0% to 27.0%, signaling a sharp divergence between big bets and price action.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026 drop 15pp despite $11K whale buy flow
YES contract price fell from 56.0% to 41.0% while whales added $11K in net buys, signaling mixed signals in the market
Jul 18
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 36pp to 82.5% with $14K whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 36pp rise in YES price, driving the market toward a higher probability on Polymarket.
Jul 17