Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 24pp as Whale Buying Diverges from Price
Whales pumped $60K into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 80.5% to 56.5%, signaling conflicting signals on Bitcoin’s July target.
Jul 13
#%sprice-movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 73 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 32pp Despite $46K Whale Buy Flow
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged from a sharp 32pp price decline, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 24pp to 60.5% as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a sharp 24 percentage-point decline in YES price, whales increased net buying by $20K, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 dip in July jumps 20.5pp to 96.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $13K net inflow into YES as the market reevaluated odds sharply higher.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 27.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, saw a sharp 27.5 percentage point drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Hormuz attack odds plunge 16.1pp to 1.5% despite whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharply falling prices in the market for Iran not attacking ships by Sunday, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 12
Breaking
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026? odds plunge 62pp to 0.05% despite $34K whale buys
Polymarket’s price collapse on Bilibili MSI victory contrasts sharply with $34K whale net inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?” YES price surges 75.9pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity supported the sharp rise in odds, with $34K net inflow into YES contracts amid $57K total 24-hour volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17pp despite $39K whale buying
Whales increased YES exposure by $39K while market-implied probability for a US-Iran meeting by July 31, 2026 fell sharply.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 59.5 Points to 69% on Polymarket
Whale activity moved in line with a sharp rise in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12