Breaking
Trump’s WC Champions Photo Market Jumps 36.4 Points to 99.5% on Whale Buying
Whale investors contributed $1.16M net into YES as the market price surged from 63.0% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
#%sprice-movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 73 stories.
Breaking
Netherlands Fair Play Award Odds Surge 97.2 Points as Whales Back the Move
YES price on Netherlands winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Fair Play Award jumped from 0.75% to 98.0%, supported by $2K whale net buying.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Dai Dai” World Cup Halftime Show odds plunge 31.6pp despite $4K whale support
Polymarket’s market for the first song at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show saw a sharp drop in YES price alongside divergent whale buying.
Jul 19
Breaking
LeBron James World Cup Final Attendance Odds Plunge 59.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
LeBron James attending the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final dropped from 70.5% to 11.0% despite whale bets moving against the price shift.
Jul 19
Breaking
Argentina top goalscorer odds plunge 47.9 pp to 8.6% despite $16K whale buys
Whales bought $27K into the Argentina top goalscorer YES contract even as its price dropped sharply over 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for Moonshot’s Chinese AI model leadership drop 28.3 points in 24h on Polymarket
Moonshot’s chance to lead Chinese AI by July 2026 fell sharply despite $6K whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi top goalscorer odds plunge 49.2pp as whale flow diverges sharply
While Lionel Messi's chance to be 2026 World Cup top scorer dropped from 57.2% to 8.1%, whales bought $823K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
Dplus Kia’s chances to win EWC League of Legends surge 56pp to 64% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $19K aligns with a sharp jump in YES price from 8.0% to 64.0% over 24 hours, signaling strong confidence in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe’s Top Scorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on $523K Whale Buying
Whale activity and price movement align as Mbappe’s chances at the 2026 World Cup spike sharply.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market YES Price Plunges 38pp Despite $5K Whale Buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 38pp drop in probability for Iran Gulf military action on July 15, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 19