Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 49pp as whales back YES with $14K net flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market more than doubled in probability amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 17
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 31.5pp despite whale buying
YES price for Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 extension fell from 76.5% to 45.0% as whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.5 points to 80.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price jump as contract volume hits $23K in 24 hours
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 48pp to 84% as whales add $14K to YES
Whale buying aligned with sharp 24-hour price rise from 36% to 84% on Polymarket’s Gulf State conflict question.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 22.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Max Martin's chance of attending Taylor Swift's wedding dropped sharply despite whales increasing YES bets by $5K.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus July 2026 release odds surge 28.5 points as whale bets match price move
Polymarket’s “Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?” market jumps from 36.5% to 65.0% with $13K volume and aligned whale flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
YES price jumps 17.5 points to 61% on Claude Opus July 2026 release market
Whales supported the rally with a $1K net inflow as traders pushed odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?” YES price jumps 21.5 pp to 54.5%
Whale activity and price moves aligned as the market sharply repriced the BTS song’s chances in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Jump 23 Points as Whale Bets Follow Price Surge
Ethereum's likelihood of hitting $1,900 in July rose sharply alongside aligned whale activity, signaling growing conviction in the market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 51.2pp as whales back YES with $10K net flow
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?” contract surged from 44.5% to 95.7% with whale buying confirming the sharp repricing.
Jul 17