Breaking
‘Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?’ YES jumps 27.1 points to 91%
Whales supported the surge with $2K net buys, pushing odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%sprice move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 82 stories.
Breaking
YES price surges 50.4pp to 100% on FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG semifinal scenario
Whale activity aligns with sharp market repricing in Polymarket’s 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals question.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG semifinals jump 47pp to 96.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices converged as the likelihood of this 2026 World Cup semifinal scenario surged sharply within 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 25pp to 47.5% as whales back YES with $141K net buys
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 25.0 percentage point rise in the probability that the US will announce a blockade on Iran by July 31.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 33pp to 36.5% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s market on Strait of Hormuz ship traffic sees a sharp 33 percentage point drop in YES odds, while whale activity contradicts the price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Riz Ahmed Emmy Odds Drop 33pp to 16.5% Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's market on Riz Ahmed winning an Emmy fell sharply despite whale bets opposing the price move, signaling conflicting views on his chances.
Jul 11
Breaking
Grok Model Market YES Price Plummets 85pp to 1.1% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged sharply from the dramatic drop in odds for xAI’s next Grok model debuting at 1460 or above by end of 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
BBL Esports YES contract jumps 33.6pp to 100% with whale buying aligned
Whales contributed a $653 net inflow into YES as the price surged from 66.3% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Odds for BBL Esports as Last VCT EMEA Team at EWC 2026 Surge 77.4pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, pushing the market from 22.6% to certainty on Polymarket.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate exit odds fall 20.5 points amid whale-price flow split
Polymarket’s YES price on McConnell stepping down dropped from 68.5% to 48.0% while whales added $12K net to YES, diverging from the price move.
Jul 10