Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Despite a sharp 29.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales bought $893K worth of contracts, signaling conflicting sentiment on Polymarket.
Whale buying of $11K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing odds from 45.0% to 80.5%.
Polymarket’s “US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?” contract fell from 71.5% to 50.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Polymarket’s contract on Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 15 sees strong alignment between price jump and whale buying activity.
Whales bought $50 in YES contracts even as market odds fell sharply from 56.5% to 30.5% in 24 hours.
Whales pushed $2.30M into YES as Polymarket odds for no Fed rate change surged sharply in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s odds for Iran attacking a Gulf State on July 15 jumped sharply as whale flows supported the move, despite a large on-chain price discrepancy.
A surge of $4.68M net whale flow into the YES side contrasts sharply with the market-implied price, highlighting a rare divergence in the World Cup prediction market.
Whale buying diverges sharply from a 61.3 percentage point fall in YES price, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
The YES contract for Sabrina Carpenter performing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show fell sharply from 66.5% to 28.9%, while whales increased their net YES exposure by $3K.
