Breaking
Yvette Cooper’s chances as UK Chancellor soar 45.9pp to 53.4% on Polymarket
Whales added a net $9K in buys, pushing odds sharply higher alongside broader market activity.
Jul 15
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
45pp surge in ‘Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?’ market as whales back YES
Polymarket’s YES price jumped from 35.5% to 80.5% on strong whale buying aligned with the price move.
Jul 15
Whales
$276K Net Whale Flow Buys Into England Win at 22.7% Price in World Cup Market
Whales added $276K net to YES on England winning 2026 World Cup, diverging from the market price under 23%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds jump 23.5 points as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whales aligned with a 24-hour surge in market odds, driving YES price from 64.5% to 88.0% ahead of July 15
Jul 15
Breaking
Unai Simón’s Golden Glove odds surge 48 pp to 75.5% with $8K whale inflow
Whale buying and price moves aligned as Polymarket sharply reprices Simón’s chances at the 2026 World Cup.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 44.5pp Amid Whale-Price Divergence
Whales bought $28K in YES contracts while Polymarket’s price for Ed Miliband as Chancellor tumbled from 62.5% to 18.0%.
Jul 15
Whales
$986K Net Whale Flow Into YES on Argentina World Cup Win Against 19.4% Market Price
Whales have poured nearly $1 million into Argentina winning the 2026 World Cup despite the market pricing it at under 20%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Meeting Market Jumps 23pp to 69.5% on Whale Buying
Whales added $10K net to YES as Polymarket prices a sharp rise in odds for talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?” YES price jumps 37.5pp to 87.5% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $20K net buying alongside a sharp price rise, signaling strong market conviction in ETH hitting $1,900 this month.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 21.5 pp to 90.5%
Whales supported the rally with $22K net flow into YES, matching the strong price move over 24 hours.
Jul 15