Whales
$336K Bet Against Consensus on George Clooney to Win 2028 Democratic Nomination
A top trader with a 76.1% accuracy record places a $336K wager on a longshot outcome in a $42.64M prediction market.
Jul 16
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf military action drops 45.5pp amid whale flow divergence
Despite whales adding $11K net to YES, the market slashed its probability from 79.5% to 34.0% in 24 hours
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp despite $11K whale buy-in
Whales increased YES bets by $11K as market price dropped from 75.0% to 35.0%, signaling conflicting signals on July 15 event.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price plunges 31.3pp to 49.2% amid whale-buying divergence
Whales bought $10K into YES even as the market slashed Max Martin's attendance odds from 80.5% to 49.2% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 45.5 points as whales diverge from price move
YES contract on Iran military action falls from 81.5% to 36.0% despite $12K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket flow and pricing.
Jul 16
Breaking
Odds for Israeli parliament dissolution by July 16 plunge 62.2pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price despite whale activity moving in the opposite direction.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu July 2026 Meeting Odds Plunge 79.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Market price for Trump-Netanyahu meeting collapses from 87.5% to 8.0% while whale flow moves against the shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp as whale flow diverges sharply
Despite a $12K whale net buy, the YES contract price halved from 80% to 40% in 24 hours, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 16
Breaking
Messi Golden Ball YES price surges 62.3pp to 89.3% alongside $138K whale inflow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price jump, pushing market odds from 27.0% to 89.3% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
US x Iran Ceasefire Odds Collapse 41.5 Points Despite Whale Buying
Whale flow diverged sharply from price, as the market slashed ceasefire chances while whales added to YES positions.
Jul 16