Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 43pp to 97.5% as whales buy $19K
Whale buying aligned with a sharp jump in market odds, signaling strong conviction on Polymarket’s Iran military action question.
Jul 17
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds drop 18pp despite $6K whale buying
Whales increased YES bets by $6K even as market probability for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift’s wedding fell sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Claude Opus release odds jump 29pp to 74.5% with whale support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 29.0 percentage point rise in yes price for Claude Opus model release by July 24, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 28.6 points as whale flow diverges
Despite whales buying $6K in YES contracts, Polymarket odds for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding dropped sharply from 52.2% to 23.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price drops 19.7 pp despite $6K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from price action as Polymarket’s odds for Max Martin attending Swift’s wedding fell sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s GOP Senate Nomination Odds Surge 61.4pp to 76%
Whales and retail investors aligned as Darline Graham Nordone's chances for South Carolina Senate nomination jumped sharply on Polymarket.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Contract Jumps 23pp to 74.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action moved in sync as optimism surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 18.5pp despite whale buying
YES contract on Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 extension fell from 63.0% to 44.5% even as whales increased exposure.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA market cap bet jumps 15pp to 34.5% as whale flow backs rally
Whales contributed $2K net buying into the NVIDIA market alongside a 15pp price surge in 24 hours, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 17
Breaking
Russell Fry Senate Nominee Odds Drop 17.5pp as Whale Bets Diverge from Price
Polymarket's 'Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?' market saw a sharp YES price decline amid whale flow opposing the move.
Jul 17