Whales
$273K Buy on Strait of Hormuz Normalization Defies 0.05% Market Odds
@elmcap2 places $273K bet on a longshot outcome in a $11.56M Polymarket event with 85.6% accuracy record.
Jul 18
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
David Crowley’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor Primary Odds Jump 19.4 Points on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $5K net buys as the YES price rose from 7.4% to 26.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds jump 35.3 pp to 59% with whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” market surged as whales boosted YES bets by $4K amid $11K total volume.
Jul 18
Breaking
Odds for ‘Like a Prayer’ as Madonna’s First 2026 World Cup Song Drop 20.5pp in 24h
Whale trading diverged sharply from the price drop in the Madonna halftime show market, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 18
Breaking
Claude Opus July 24, 2026 Release Odds Jump 21pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.0 percentage point rise in YES price, lifting market conviction ahead of the July 24, 2026 deadline.
Jul 18
Breaking
Kimi Antonelli Pole Position Odds Surge 52.9pp to 100% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp 53pp jump in odds, driving full conviction into the YES contract.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?” YES price drops 17.5 pp amid whale flow divergence
Whale buying of $17K into YES contrasts with a sharp 17.5 pp decline in the contract’s probability over 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Databricks $180B valuation market tumbles 55.7pp as whales buy into YES
Despite a sharp drop in YES price from 75.4% to 19.7%, whales increased their net buys by $4K in the past 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
Darline Graham Nordone’s Senate Nominee Odds Jump 24.5 Points to 51.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24.5pp rise in YES price, doubling confidence in Nordone's nomination chances.
Jul 18
Breaking
Kimi Antonelli Pole Position Odds Surge 67pp to 99.6% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the sharp price jump, adding $17K in net buys as market confidence in Antonelli’s pole at 2026 Belgian GP soared.
Jul 18