Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 36.5 pp to 99.0% amid $815K whale inflow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, pushing odds to near certainty.
Jul 20
#%sprediction-markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 81 stories.
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 35.1 pp to 97.7% on whale buying
Whales bought $741K into YES contracts as the market price surged from 62.5% to 97.7%, aligning flow and price moves.
Jul 19
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo Market YES Price Surges 37pp to 98% on Whale Buying
Whale activity and price movement aligned sharply as the market for Trump’s WC Champions Photo appearance jumped from 61.0% to 98.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Whales
$778K Bet on Spain’s 2026 World Cup Win Defies 59.2% Market Odds
A single wallet placed the largest trade on Polymarket in 24 hours, backing Spain despite market-implied probabilities.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for next Claude Opus model release by July 22, 2026, drop 21.5 pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract price fell from 59.0% to 37.5% despite whale bets moving against the trend, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 19
Breaking
Odds for Claude Opus Model Release by July 22, 2026, Drop 25pp Amid Whale Divergence
YES price on Polymarket slid from 57.5% to 32.5% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
YES price on “Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” jumps 59.5pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with sharp price rise as Polymarket’s market moves from 40.5% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
YES contract on FDV above $10M market jumps 56.9pp to 97.9% in 24 hours
Whales supported the sharp price rise with $6K net flow into YES, confirming the market’s rapid repricing.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 24.1 pp to 95.5%
Whales supported the sharp rise with $6K net inflow into YES contracts amid $8K traded in 24 hours.
Jul 18
Breaking
“Credible FDV above $10M one day after launch?” YES price jumps 32.5 points to 95.5%
Whales added $6K net to YES as Polymarket’s odds surged from 63.0% to 95.5% within 24 hours
Jul 18