Iran military action on July 16? YES price plunges 37pp amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s market on Iran’s Gulf military action saw YES contract price drop from 67.5% to 30.5% despite whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Polymarket’s market on Iran’s Gulf military action saw YES contract price drop from 67.5% to 30.5% despite whale bets moving opposite the price trend.
Despite a 72.5 percentage point drop in YES price, whale bets moved against the price trend, signaling conflicting views on the market.
Polymarket's 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?' market saw a sharp price decline while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals in market sentiment.
Polymarket's market saw a sharp 23.0 percentage point decline in YES contract price amid whale activity diverging from price moves.
Odds for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift’s wedding plunged from 83.0% to 38.0% while whales increased YES bets by $8K against the price move.
Whales added $33K net to YES positions as the market nearly doubled its probability in 24 hours.
Despite a sharp 26 percentage point decline in YES price, whale activity did not support the move on Polymarket.
Whale activity aligned with the sharp rise in YES price, signaling increased confidence ahead of July 31.
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