Breaking
NVIDIA second-largest market cap bet jumps 35.5pp to 42.5% with whale buying
Whales increased net exposure by $5K as the probability on NVIDIA’s July 31 ranking more than quintupled in 24 hours.
Jul 17
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 61.9pp as whale flow diverges
Price on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding dropped sharply despite $11K whale net buys, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 17
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Odds Jump 17.5pp to 54.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in the probability that Houthis will successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
“0 ships transit Hormuz by July 31?” YES price jumps 15.8 pp to 22.8% with whale backing
The market’s sharp rise from 7.0% to 22.8% in 24 hours is confirmed by $7K net whale buying, signaling stronger conviction on the outcome.
Jul 17
Breaking
Moonshot AI Model Market Jumps 31.9pp to 51.5% on Whale Buying
Whale net inflows of $6K supported a sharp rise in odds for Moonshot leading Chinese AI by July 2026.
Jul 17
Breaking
NVIDIA Largest Company Odds Drop 37pp Despite $44K Whale Buy Flow
Whales bought $44K into YES as market price for NVIDIA’s top market cap status fell sharply from 84.5% to 47.5%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 38.5 pp to 95.5% on Polymarket amid whale buying
Whale net flow of $8K into YES accompanied a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran-Gulf State military action market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Bitcoin $67,500 July Odds Drop 19pp Despite Whale Activity Divergence
Bitcoin July $67,500 market on Polymarket saw YES contract price fall from 42.5% to 23.5% as whale flow diverged from the price move.
Jul 17
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 33pp as Whales Back YES with $6K Net Flow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump from 57.0% to 90.0% in the odds of Iran taking military action on July 17.
Jul 17
Breaking
US x Iran Ceasefire Odds Drop 18pp Amid Divergent Whale Activity
YES contract for an effective ceasefire by August 14 fell from 53.0% to 35.0% as whale flow diverged from price action.
Jul 17