Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds plunge 25pp as whale buying diverges from price
Whales bought $56K into YES contracts despite a sharp 25.0pp drop in odds over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 11
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Google’s Math AI model odds jump 35.5 points to 48% amid whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in YES price on Polymarket’s Google Math AI market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 23.2 Points as Whale Bets Align with Rally
Polymarket’s 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?' market surged from 12.8% to 35.9% on $34K volume with whale activity confirming the price move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 15.2 Points to 29.5% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price gains moved in tandem as market reassesses likelihood of Gulf conflict on July 9.
Jul 11
Breaking
“US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” YES price dropped 15 pp despite $51K whale inflow
Whales bought $51K into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 60.5% to 45.5%, signaling a divergence between whale activity and price direction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33pp to 46.9% on Polymarket amid aligned whale bets
Whales pushed the “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market higher as the YES price surged from 13.9% to 46.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 40.5 Points as Whale Bets Support Rally
The probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 9 rose sharply to 54.5%, backed by aligned whale trading.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES odds jump 49.1 pp to 62.9%
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw a sharp rise in odds with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 23.2 Points to 37% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise in odds for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 29.9 points to 43.3% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw coordinated price and whale flow gains, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 11