Breaking
Mitch McConnell Senate Exit Odds Drop 20pp Despite $20K Whale Buy
Whales poured $20K into YES contracts even as market odds tumbled from 49.5% to 29.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%spolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 128 stories.
Breaking
McConnell Senate Exit Odds Drop 17pp Despite $15K Whale Bet on YES
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 17.0 pp decline in YES price, signaling mixed conviction in McConnell stepping down early.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds McConnell Will Step Down Before Term End Drop 20pp Amid Whale Selling
Whales sold $16K against a 20pp decline in McConnell stepping down odds, signaling skeptical big-money flow.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket sees 24.5pp drop in McConnell Senate resignation odds amid whale-price divergence
Despite whales netting $14K into YES, Polymarket’s price for McConnell stepping down fell sharply from 49.5% to 25.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
PMX Index
PMX composite at 31.9 signals deep risk-off mood, crypto and politics hit 40-day lows
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index reveals uneven market activity with crypto and political sub-indices at their weakest in over a month.
Jul 12
Breaking
Kash Patel out by December 31? YES price jumps 25pp with whale buying
Odds for Kash Patel exiting by year-end rose sharply to 61.5%, backed by $15K whale net inflows
Jul 11
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES odds jump 16pp to 52.5% amid $14K whale inflow
Whale buying and price movement aligned as market odds shifted sharply above 50%, signaling growing conviction
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate Incumbents Market Jumps 15.1pp to 98.5% on Whale Buying
Whales added $3K into YES as Polymarket sharply reprices odds for two 2026 nominating defeats.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate incumbents’ defeat odds jump 17pp to 94.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with sharp price rise in market on 2026 nominating election outcomes.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate Incumbents Market Jumps 22.6 pp to 94.7% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $3K net buying as the contract’s odds rose sharply, with on-chain and price moves aligned.
Jul 11