Iran military action odds surge 60.5pp to 70% on July 12 on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 58 stories.
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 65pp rise in odds for Iran launching military action against a Gulf state on July 12.
Whale activity and price movement aligned as market sharply repriced the likelihood of military action on July 12.
Whale activity aligned with sharp price jump, pushing Polymarket’s market odds from 8.5% to 70.5%.
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as the market rapidly adjusted to heightened conflict risk.
Whale trading activity tracked the rapid rise in odds, confirming a sharp market repricing over 24 hours.
Whale activity aligned with rising odds as the market priced in a significant increase in the likelihood of military action.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract doubled its odds in 24 hours amid coordinated whale buying.
Whale bets and price gains moved in tandem as market reassesses likelihood of Gulf conflict on July 9.
Whales pushed the “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market higher as the YES price surged from 13.9% to 46.9% in 24 hours.