Iran Gulf State military action odds surge 84pp to 93.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp price jump, pushing odds from 9.5% to 93.5% in 24 hours.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 58 stories.
Whale trading aligned with sharp price jump, pushing odds from 9.5% to 93.5% in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s contract on Iran taking military action against a Gulf State sees aligned whale flow and a surge in odds to 90%.
Whale bets reinforced a sharp shift in expectations for Iran's military move, with contract prices jumping from 6.5% to 86.5% in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” market jumps sharply with whale flows confirming the shift.
Whale activity and market prices rose together sharply, reflecting a major shift in expectations.
Whale activity aligned with price jump as market rapidly reprices likelihood of conflict
Whale trades and price moves aligned as markets sharply repriced the likelihood of Iranian military action on July 12.
Whale trades and price moves aligned as market repriced a military action by August 31 scenario.
Polymarket's YES contract for Iranian military action nearly quintupled in probability as whale activity confirmed the sharp move.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract surged from 9.5% to 76%, with whale flow supporting the sharp repricing.