Breaking
Fed rate pause odds drop 15pp to 61.5% despite $1.08M whale bets
Whale buying diverges from falling YES price in Fed rate pause market, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket
Jul 14
#%sfed
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 25 stories.
Breaking
Fed rate hold odds drop 16pp to 63.5% as whale buying diverges from price move
Polymarket's 'no change in Fed rates after July 2026' market saw a sharp price fall despite nearly $900K whale inflows into YES contracts
Jul 13
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES Price Jumps 20pp to 64.5%
Whales backed the surge with $6K net inflow, aligning with a sharp 24-hour repricing higher on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Whales
Whale buys $291K on Fed hold after July 2026 despite 84.5% market odds
A top-accuracy wallet placed a large buy order backing no Fed rate change after July 2026, aligning with strong whale buying in the market.
Jul 8
Whales
@gamblito sells $450K on 50+ bps Fed hike in July 2026 at 0.35% market price
The $450K sell order runs against broader whale buying despite a low market-implied probability on Polymarket’s Fed decision market.
Jul 6