Whales
$399K bet against consensus on Fed rate hike after July 2026 meeting
A single wallet with 85.2% accuracy backs a longshot Fed interest rate increase, joining whale buying in a $12M market.
Jul 15
#%sfed
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 25 stories.
Breaking
Fed Rate Freeze Odds Surge 27pp to 93.5% on Whale Support
Whales drove $2.22M net into the 'no change' bet as the market sharply repriced in one day.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed July 2026 no-rate-change odds jump 28pp to 93.5% as whales buy $2.21M
Whale buying aligned with price surge, pushing Polymarket odds sharply higher over 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hold after July 2026 meeting jumps 32pp to 93.5% on Polymarket
$2.20M whale net buying backs a sharp rise in odds for no Fed rate change following July 2026 meeting
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate-hike pause odds surge 32pp to 93.5% on $2.23M whale inflow
Whales and retail aligned as Polymarket repriced the chance of no Fed rate change after July 2026 sharply higher.
Jul 15
Breaking
Odds for No Fed Rate Change After July 2026 Meeting Surge 32pp to 93.5%
Whales backed the sharp price jump with $2.26M net flow into YES contracts amid $2.99M traded in 24 hours.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? YES odds plunge 27.1 pp despite $90K whale inflow
Whale buying of $90K in YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 27.1 percentage point drop in the market price to 6.9%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds plunge 30.1 points despite $885K whale buy-in
Whales bought $885K into YES contracts as the market sharply cut the probability of a July 2026 rate increase by 30.1 percentage points.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed 25 bps Rate Hike Odds Cut 30.4 pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a 30.4 percentage point plunge in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $891K, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds after July 2026 meeting plunge 29.9 pp to 6.9% as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 29.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales bought $893K worth of contracts, signaling conflicting sentiment on Polymarket.
Jul 15