Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 58pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price jump, signaling strong market conviction in a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
#%sdiplomacy
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 33 stories.
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds jump 19pp to 60.5% on whale buying
Whales fueled a sharp 24-hour rise in the Polymarket contract’s YES price, pushing it from 41.5% to 60.5%.
Jul 10
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds jump 15pp to 52% on Polymarket
Whales and retail traders aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 9