Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds drop 15pp despite $11K whale inflow
Whales increased YES bets by $11K even as Polymarket prices for a meeting by July 31, 2026 fell sharply from 52.5% to 37.5%.
Jul 18
#%sdiplomacy
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 33 stories.
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 44.5pp to 97% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 33.9 points to 97.4% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 23pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 23-point jump in the YES price, signaling strong conviction in a diplomatic breakthrough.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 39.5pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, pushing expectations for a meeting by July 14, 2026 higher.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 42pp to 86.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 42.0 percentage point increase in the YES contract price, signaling rising market confidence.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting market jumps 54pp to 87% on aligned whale buying
Whale flows and price action moved in tandem as Polymarket sharply repriced odds for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 42pp to 81.5% in 24h on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Polymarket Odds for Israel-Lebanon Diplomatic Meeting by July 14 Jump 45pp to 82.5%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in market confidence for a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon by mid-2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 69.5 pp to 95% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026, pushing YES price from 25.5% to 95%.
Jul 13