Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 drop 19.7pp despite whale buying
Whales bought $9K of YES contracts while the market price fell from 48.4% to 28.7%, showing a divergence between flow and price.
Jul 19
#%sai models
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 10 stories.
Breaking
Moonshot’s odds for best Chinese AI model by July 2026 jump 24.9 points on Polymarket
Whales increased their YES bets by $5K as market probability surged from 31.5% to 56.4% in 24 hours.
Jul 17
Breaking
Alibaba AI model market drops 25.8pp despite $3K whale inflow
Polymarket's contract on Alibaba’s AI leadership at July 2026 falls sharply even as whales add $3K into YES positions.
Jul 16
Breaking
Moonshot AI odds jump 21.3 points to 34% as whale buying backs price move
Whales added $4K net into YES contracts on Moonshot’s Chinese AI model market, matching a sharp 24-hour price rise from 12.6% to 34%.
Jul 16
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds plunge 30.2 pp to 52.0% despite $3K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 30.2 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket’s Chinese AI model market.
Jul 16
Breaking
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? YES jumps 32.9 pp to 40.2%
Whales backed the surge with $4K net buying, aligning strongly with the rapid odds increase on Polymarket.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?” YES jumps 28.5 pp to 79.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price rise, adding $5K net into YES contracts amid $9K total 24h volume.
Jul 13
Breaking
Next Grok model debut odds plunge 63.5pp to 3.0% despite whale buying
Whales increased net YES exposure even as market price for xAI’s Grok model score plummeted, signaling conflicting signals among traders.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Grok model debut plunges 60pp despite whale opposition
Whale trades diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in odds for xAI’s next Grok model scoring 1460 by end-2026.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI GPT model debut odds plunge 18pp to 12% as whale flow diverges
Whales added $4K to YES contracts even as Polymarket prices the GPT model debut significantly lower.
Jul 9