Breaking
Will OpenAI’s valuation hit $1.0T by December 31? YES odds plunge 43.5pp to 34.0%
Whale buying contrasts with a sharp 24-hour price drop, highlighting market disagreement on OpenAI's trillion-dollar valuation.
Jul 9
Breaking
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena Score by end-2026 jumps 21.5pp to 48.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market odds near even for AI breakthrough by December 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 16.9 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 16.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whales increased their net buys by $6K, signaling mixed signals on Iran's July 9 targeting.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision YES price drops 21.5pp while whales add $1K
Polymarket’s market on Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision sees a sharp price repricing amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds drop 25pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
Jul 9
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds jump 15pp to 52% on Polymarket
Whales and retail traders aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena score jumps 17.5 pp to 44.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the price surge, adding $2K net into YES amid $6K total volume in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Breaking
‘Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?’ YES price jumps 20.5 pp to 70.5% on aligned whale buying
Whales contributed a $6K net inflow to YES contracts as Polymarket’s odds surged, despite a 23.0% on-chain mid-price divergence.
Jul 9
Breaking
YES price on Iran shipping attack tumbles 21.1pp despite $10K whale inflow
Whales bought $15K into YES even as Polymarket’s price dropped from 22.2% to 1.1%, diverging sharply from on-chain data.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?” odds drop 22pp despite $3K whale buy
Polymarket's YES price plunged from 67.5% to 45.5% even as whales added $3K in net buys, revealing a rare divergence between price action and whale flow.
Jul 9