Iran shipping attack odds plunge 26.1 points despite $3K whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
Sharp 24-hour price moves on Polymarket’s Breaking feed, with whale-flow context from Polydata.
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
YES contract on Ethereum dip dropped from 84.0% to 60.5% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Price on Count Binface’s Clacton by-election finish slid from 86.5% to 69.0% as whale activity diverged from the market move.
While the YES price collapsed from 32.3% to 1.5% in 24 hours, whales increased net bets by $5K, showing a notable divergence between price action and whale activity.
Whale activity tracked the sharp surge in odds, pushing the market close to certainty within 24 hours.
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?” YES contract dropped from 22.0% to 1.5%, while whales added $5K in net YES bets.
Polymarket's Bitcoin price target contract surged as whale trading aligned with the sharp upward repricing.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw YES price collapse from 82.0% to 17.0% even as whales increased YES exposure.
Whales increased exposure by $925, moving in step with the sharp rise in YES contract price.
Whale activity matched the sharp odds shift as the market priced near certainty on UFO file release by mid-July.