Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales bought $5K into YES even as its price collapsed from 37.5% to 1.1%, signaling a sharp divergence between flow and market odds.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?” contract fell sharply from 69.0% to 29.5% even as whale flow diverged by supporting YES.
The odds that Trump's speech lasts at least 30 minutes collapsed from 36.5% to 0.05%, while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 39-point drop in YES price on Polymarket's Iran Gulf military action market.
Whale activity and market price moved in tandem on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction behind the surge in Bitcoin dip odds.
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate nominee market saw a sharp 18.0 pp decline in YES price despite whale activity not supporting the move.
YES contract price plunges from 71.5% to 24.0% despite whale flow moving against the trend
Whales supported the sharp 18.0 percentage point rise in YES price with $2K net inflow, aligning with the market rally.
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in odds, pushing market conviction higher in a single day.
Whale activity aligned with rising YES prices, pushing market confidence sharply higher in 24 hours
